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Workshop 3-4 June 2008 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Monday, 21 April 2008
Bayesian Workshop

TUESDAY - 3 June 2008 (Room: Alberti 2)

09.00 a.m. – 9.30 a.m. Welcome and registration
 
09.30 a.m. – 11.30 a.m. SESSION 1

Rodney Strachan (University of Queensland)
Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve
(co-authored with Gary Koop and Roberto Leon-Gonzalez)

Mark Jensen (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta)
A MCMC method for nonstationary, mean-reverting, stochastic volatility

Gabriele Fiorentini (University of Florence)
The marginal likelihood of structural time series models, with application to the Euro area and US NAIRU
(co-authored with Christophe Planas and Alessandro Rossi)

11.30 a.m. – 12.00 a.m. COFFEE BREAK

12.00 a.m. – 01.00 p.m. SESSION 2

Keynote talk by John Geweke (University of Iowa)
Optimal Prediction Pools
(co-authored with Gianni Amisano).

01.00 p.m. – 02.00 p.m. LUNCH BREAK

02.00 p.m. – 03.15 p.m. SESSION 3

John Maheu (University of Toronto)
Real time analysis of structural breaks: An application to GARCH models
(co-authored with Zhongfang He)

Markus Jochmann (University of Strathclyde)
Two applications of nonparametric Bayesian modeling for economic time series

03.15 p.m. – 04.15 p.m. SESSION 4

Keynote talk by Herman van Dijk (Erasmus University)
On reliable and efficient simulation for possibly ill-behaved econometric posteriors:  Some experiments with neural network sampling with applications to IV models, mixture processes and option evaluations

04.15 p.m.  Beach time followed by dinner


WEDNESDAY – 4 June 2008 (Room: Alberti 2)

09.30 a.m. – 11.30 a.m. SESSION 5

Roberto Leon-Gonzalez (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Tokyo)
Bayesian inference in the time varying cointegration model
(co-authored with Gary Koop and Rodney Strachan)

Pasquale Della Corte (University of Warwick)
Correlation Timing in Asset Allocation with Bayesian Learning
(co-authored with Lucio Sarno and Ilias Tsiakas)

Dimitris Korobilis (University of Strathclyde)
Post WWII monetary policy dynamics and large data sets: A TVP-FAVAR framework

11.30 a.m. – 12.00 a.m. COFFEE BREAK

12.00 a.m. – 01.00 p.m. SESSION 6

Keynote talk by Simon Potter (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Modeling the Libor-OIS Spread: A Bayesian approach

01.00 p.m. – 02.00 p.m. LUNCH BREAK

02.00 p.m. – 04.00 p.m. SESSION 7

Wolfgang Polasek (Institute for Advanced Studies)
Autoregressive space-time (ARST) models for economic forecasting

Garth Holloway (University of Reading)
Bayesian Estimation and Comparison of Human Trafficking Propensities
(co-authored with Michael Fleisher)

Gary Koop (Strathclyde University)
On the Evolution of Monetary Policy
(co-authored with Roberto Leon-Gonzalez and Rodney Strachan)



Location of the Rooms:
Room ALBERTI 2:    Faculty of Economics, Via Q. Sella 13, Rimini





geweke.jpgJohn Geweke is Harlan McGregor Chair in Economic Theory and Director of the  Institute for Economic Research at the University of Iowa. He holds a PhD, Economics, from University of Minnesota, and BS, Social Science, from Michigan State University. Professor Geweke’s contributions have had a great influence on research practice in the fields of Econometric Theory, Applied Econometrics and Economics.  Professor Geweke is Advisory/Consulting Editor of the Journal of Applied Econometrics and the Journal of Financial Econometrics while he is Co-Editor of the Journal of Econometrics and  Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. He is a member of the Board on Mathematical Sciences of the National Academy and a Fellow of the Econometric Society, the American Statistical Association. Professor Geweke is currently President of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. His major research interests are in Econometric theory, Bayesian econometrics, time series analysis, latent variable models, financial economics and earnings dynamics  Professor Geweke has published in several refereed journals including the American Economic Review, Bayesian Statistics, Econometrica, Econometric Reviews, Economics Letters, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics,  The Review of Financial Studies.


van-dijk.jpgHerman K. van Dijk is professor of Econometrics with a Personal Chair at Erasmus University Rotterdam. He is a former Director of the Econometric Institute and Honorary  Fellow and former chairperson of the Tinbergen Institute. He has been a visiting fellow and a visiting professor at, among other institutions, Cambridge University, the Catholic University of Louvain, Harvard University, Duke University, Cornell University, and the University of New South Wales. He received the Savage Prize for his PhD dissertation and is listed in Journal Econometric Theory in the Econometricians Hall of Fame amongst the top ten European econometricians. His research interests are in Bayesian inference using computational techniques, time series econometrics, neural networks, and income distributions.  He is Co-editor of the Journal of Applied Econometrics and of the Econometric Institute/Princeton University Press lectures and Associate Editor of the Journal of Econometrics, Econometric Reviews, Journal of Computational Economics, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis and Econometrics Letters. He has published extensively in international journals, such as Econometrica, Econometric Theory, Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of Computational Economics, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Forecasting and the  International Journal of Forecasting.


potter.jpgSimon Potter is Senior Vice President and Head Macroeconomic and Monetary Studies Function at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and has taught at UCLA, Johns Hopkins and NYU. His main research area is applied time series analysis using Bayesian methods. He has written extensively on nonlinear dynamics over the business cycles. Recent topics have included forecasting the probability of recession, large panel forecasting models and modelling structural change. Dr Potter has widely published in international journals such as Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Economic Letters, Econometrics Journal, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

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